TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb732…6900

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
501
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT41258.3%240 W · 172 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 412 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$7.49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$6.31
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$20.38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.51
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$11.45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$18.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$4.74
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$5.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$15.4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$6.65
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Showing 25 of 412 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.62
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$15.28
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$7.51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.95
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$65.06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$6.9
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$26.3
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.65
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+140%+$18.68
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$42.96
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.04
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$209.67
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.64
Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+268.5%+$32.06
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$9.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$8.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$8.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$5.12
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$9.45
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.89
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$28.22
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+41%+$5.99
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$6.58
Will "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$36.07
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.18
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.51
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$27.02
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.2
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$147.67
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.26
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$3.89
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$6.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$5.35
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.16
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.06
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.53
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $1.1B and $1.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.2
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be less than $0.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will HawkEye 360's market cap be between $3.25B and $4.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$36.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.