Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551e646b001a30ad2c01c22881c6fe6598f68fe9a25310defeacb92e8a047604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,538$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.19 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 75c | 1,267$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 25c | 754.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.61 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 297.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 34c | 233.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 5c | 229.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…7139backed Yes | 32c | 220.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 28c | 200.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 47c | 199.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a083backed Yes | 26c | 180.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…fd75backed Yes | 68c | 180$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed Yes | 74c | 179.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 70c | 172.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 23c | 166.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 21c | 149.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…36bfbacked No | 75c | 123.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06d…ac24backed No | 75c | 113.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 71c | 113.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 105.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed No | 75c | 104.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 79c | 102.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa539…1e87backed Yes | 61c | 101.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 97.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 27c | 91.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 89.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…b385backed No | 74c | 77.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 66c | 76.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 74.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 73.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 21c | 73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…77dbbacked No | 32c | 70.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 69.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 74c | 69.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 70c | 65.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 35c | 64.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 23c | 61.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 49 | 91.8%45 W · 4 L | +18.2wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 77+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xef5f…3d94backed Yes | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…a5a5backed Yes | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 35 | 94.3%33 W · 2 L | +13.8wins | +0.40per pick | 55cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 76+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…dda1backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…28c3backed Yes | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…e9f4backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +10.4wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 78c | 57.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed No | 70c | 56.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 26c | 56.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 79c | 52.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…8996backed No | 78c | 49.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…9326backed No | 77c | 46.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 63c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…bbfabacked No | 75c | 41.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 80c | 37.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…ff90backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 240 | 53.3%128 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 73c | 23.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 67c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…b1b2backed No | 73c | 23.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…b36fbacked No | 74c | 20.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 78c | 17.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 61c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 15.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a96…4007backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.