Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e22371e68fba617a262df549c022f884d7f629969f074de2f3c1ea102dfa3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd615…ae32backed No | 4c | 6,952$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,022$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.07 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,937$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.2 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,557$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.77 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 76c | 1,493$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 47c | 952.8$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.13 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 52c | 929.6$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 10c | 894.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 880$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…71a5backed No | 2c | 746.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 10c | 699.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -83%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 663.45$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 33c | 606.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 9c | 539.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.92 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…62fbbacked Yes | 70c | 428.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 24c | 420.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 62c | 381.09$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 322.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 79c | 318.8$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 277.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 66c | 253.64$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 35c | 250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 41c | 249.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…61f0backed Yes | 49c | 232.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Yes | 51c | 219.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 7c | 214.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 13c | 212.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 48c | 211.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 10c | 182.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 177$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 50c | 170.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…89f3backed Yes | 71c | 168.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked Yes | 19c | 151$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 26c | 148.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 138.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 63c | 131.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 22c | 115.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 24c | 114.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 58c | 112.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 11c | 109.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 53c | 104.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e2b0backed Yes | 22c | 103.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 50c | 101.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 67c | 95.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 60c | 95.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed Yes | 37c | 94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…a07abacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 64c | 87.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 23c | 85.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 77.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 76.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 59c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 74.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…47ccbacked Yes | 53c | 73.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed Yes | 50c | 63.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 60.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…8b5abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 47c | 59.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 52c | 58.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 76c | 56.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 65c | 55.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 58c | 51.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…d02ebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…d9b5backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…6fe0backed No | 77c | 49.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…835dbacked Yes | 58c | 47.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 47.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…8da1backed Yes | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 45c | 45.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…456dbacked Yes | 53c | 42.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 52c | 39.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…d0dcbacked Yes | 49c | 39.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…69d7backed Yes | 50c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 38.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 75c | 38.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed No | 50c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 191 | 41.4%79 W · 112 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked Yes | 50c | 34.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 75c | 32.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 51c | 28.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 38c | 27.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…b6c7backed Yes | 52c | 27.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 41c | 24.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 41c | 24.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 53c | 21.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…e696backed Yes | 63c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.