Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12e14abb107747c07fb66de3505834278416856afd8f007539715120b019b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a5…71a5backed Yes | 3c | 19,808$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.57 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 1c | 13,329$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 152 | 5.3%8 W · 144 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 11,492$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 436 | 19.3%84 W · 352 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…c282backed Yes | 8c | 8,334$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…69d7backed Yes | 3c | 7,582$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 15c | 5,056$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.4 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…6468backed Yes | 0c | 5,045$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…1a08backed Yes | 12c | 4,104$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.02 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…ac24backed Yes | 1c | 3,661$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 4c | 3,646$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…26f7backed Yes | 0c | 3,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…425ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,611$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 72c | 2,398$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.89 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,253$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.29 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed No | 78c | 2,158$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.32 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 54c | 2,153$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.02 | 637 | 39.1%249 W · 388 L | +48.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…e696backed Yes | 2c | 1,721$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e07dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,638$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 3c | 1,620$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…96ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,351$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 69c | 858.36$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 793.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 72c | 649.98$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 607.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 2,576 | 13.2%339 W · 2,237 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed No | 58c | 498.44$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 426$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 60c | 414.34$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.7 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…ee76backed Yes | 4c | 406.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x963b…e688backed Yes | 4c | 387.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 366.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 315 | 54.9%173 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 364.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 813 | 35.7%290 W · 523 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 52c | 353.22$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 20c | 349.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 323.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 280.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 33c | 209.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Yes | 21c | 199.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…89f3backed Yes | 7c | 197.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 12c | 169.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 71c | 168.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | -21.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 24c | 167.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 196 | 28.1%55 W · 141 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 151.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 61c | 144.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaf…8920backed Yes | 68c | 142.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…480cbacked Yes | 33c | 141.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…b6c7backed Yes | 12c | 138.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed Yes | 8c | 135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e2b0backed Yes | 39c | 128.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda8…4567backed Yes | 78c | 127.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 74cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 31c | 127.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…2c3ebacked Yes | 33c | 127.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…3885backed Yes | 9c | 119.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 73c | 115.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 344 | 70.3%242 W · 102 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 110.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 15c | 109.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…8b21backed Yes | 21c | 108.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 218 | 16.1%35 W · 183 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 18c | 108.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 31c | 104.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…d02ebacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bee…cdc5backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 423 | 19.4%82 W · 341 L | -19.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 73c | 96.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked Yes | 27c | 96.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 67c | 94.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 67c | 94.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…a07abacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…0af5backed Yes | 31c | 91.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 15c | 89.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 45c | 85.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 225 | 57.8%130 W · 95 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 30c | 83.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked Yes | 31c | 83.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 46c | 83.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Yes | 48c | 78.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 67c | 70.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…4e7dbacked Yes | 28c | 69.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…3729backed Yes | 20c | 68.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…9fbabacked Yes | 31c | 66.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 74c | 59.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 56.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 526 | 45.6%240 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 56c | 55.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Yes | 45c | 54.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 33c | 53.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 33c | 50.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 63c | 50.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.