TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2ab…2da7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8035%28 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$287.5
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.64
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5829.3%17 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$157.44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+486.8%+$292.08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$43.46
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$16.36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$113.27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+406%+$97.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.74
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$20.96
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.44
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$73.52
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.