Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa935bd698ebfeb633edce0251fe964fe75604fc48b5044c9a101ccf2df4c15d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 11c | 7,625$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.53 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 79c | 5,001$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.94 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 1c | 4,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 24c | 3,680$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 14c | 3,042$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.06 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 3,035$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.14 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 79c | 2,637$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.42 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…a958backed No | 3c | 2,308$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 2,166$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 1,945$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 79c | 1,945$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.55 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 24c | 1,940$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.46 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…1efbbacked No | 5c | 1,849$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 53c | 1,758$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.41 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 21c | 1,728$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.61 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 28c | 1,724$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.94 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,620$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,606$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 26c | 1,577$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.51 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked No | 2c | 1,488$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 10c | 1,420$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 1,361$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.79 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 2c | 1,241$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 48c | 1,200$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.83 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 25c | 1,197$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 18c | 1,177$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 23c | 1,155$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.71 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…d518backed No | 46c | 1,096$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 51c | 1,014$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.41 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Yes | 66c | 974.35$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.19 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 929.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes | 47c | 922.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.3 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 55c | 899.66$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.81 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 25c | 878.34$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 78c | 833.33$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 746.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 55c | 733.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed No | 5c | 716$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 25c | 710$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 706$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked No | 4c | 670$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 665$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 65c | 609.61$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 20c | 589.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 77c | 585.77$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 4c | 554.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 531.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 57c | 528.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 69c | 510.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 71c | 509.04$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 57c | 500.76$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes | 72c | 489.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 28c | 440$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed No | 30c | 439.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 77c | 415.24$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 63c | 413.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 399.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 75c | 399.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 47c | 397.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a02…2d8bbacked Yes | 59c | 391.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 8c | 388.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 77c | 380.05$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 363.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 56c | 356.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 3c | 353.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5d…333fbacked Yes | 79c | 350$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 75c | 340$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 53c | 313.36$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 64c | 305.49$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 35c | 294.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 178 | 24.7%44 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 56c | 285.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 279.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked Yes | 51c | 276.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…569cbacked Yes | 63c | 266.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 34c | 262.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 54c | 261.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…9d1bbacked No | 23c | 252$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 60c | 236.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed No | 27c | 235.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…8dacbacked Yes | 57c | 234.06$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 73c | 231.1$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes | 59c | 226.85$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 106 | 17%18 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed Yes | 60c | 221.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…710dbacked No | 45c | 220.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 49c | 205.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 198.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…e538backed Yes | 58c | 195.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 44c | 188.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…f3c1backed No | 7c | 188.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 6c | 180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8020…60e3backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 176.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…99ecbacked Yes | 57c | 172.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 172.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 60c | 162.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…17e5backed Yes | 70c | 160.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…1300backed Yes | 40c | 158.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.