TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x028d…fecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6622.7%15 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$488.39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$598.87
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$401
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$659.22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,294.6
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,076
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+660.1%+$92.41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+204.5%+$94.44
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.06
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$526.29
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$28.03
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$483
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.73
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.86
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$142.63
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.46
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$243.43
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+317.8%+$61.13
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$273.2
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.11
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.56
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+239.8%+$26.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$81.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$34.24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or higher on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$162.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$1,231.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$35.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nuxeria Esport vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuxeria Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.