Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3f8bc2b908f8d08544fa6301d90c2607c0d3aead386c0cc4fd8a1a57eb10c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 20c | 9,519$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed L1ga Team | 40c | 2,537$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 2,251$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.04 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 8c | 1,538$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed L1ga Team | 14c | 1,481$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,426$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.9 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 8c | 1,317$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed L1ga Team | 19c | 1,312$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,302$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed L1ga Team | 4c | 1,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,090$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.91 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed L1ga Team | 41c | 999.22$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 998.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 991.73$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.61 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…1aecbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 922.64$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed L1ga Team | 18c | 844.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 13c | 800$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 9c | 788.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 746.88$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.69 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked L1ga Team | 18c | 729.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 702.28$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 620.45$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 564.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed L1ga Team | 43c | 556.55$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed L1ga Team | 7c | 520.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 482.58$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed L1ga Team | 41c | 482.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed L1ga Team | 43c | 444.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 423.25$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed L1ga Team | 17c | 365.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed L1ga Team | 7c | 290.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team | 42c | 289.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 284$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 8c | 278.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 277.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed L1ga Team | 41c | 271.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed L1ga Team | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 243.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 234.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed L1ga Team | 41c | 223.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 197.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 187.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed L1ga Team | 38c | 167.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed L1ga Team | 43c | 159.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 146.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 146.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 134.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed L1ga Team | 15c | 120.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked L1ga Team | 42c | 117.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 115.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed L1ga Team | 35c | 113.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 26c | 101.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed L1ga Team | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…da1fbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 98.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 93.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed L1ga Team | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed L1ga Team | 39c | 91.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team | 19c | 88.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed L1ga Team | 60c | 87.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 78.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 78.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked L1ga Team | 19c | 76.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed L1ga Team | 35c | 73.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed L1ga Team | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…42f1backed L1ga Team | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 65.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 65.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed L1ga Team | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…bcf7backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 57.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ee…27cfbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 57.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked L1ga Team | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…feccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 49.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed L1ga Team | 38c | 46.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 43.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 40.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 40.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 36.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 34.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 32.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 30.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…8b22backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 27.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae6…5249backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 19.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 15.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.