Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6348265b93195cc81c2f9fefcd94a609f2265e2139630fc2f52da2faa32b3dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked L1ga Team | 51c | 11,814$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed L1ga Team | 9c | 10,635$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.44 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 27c | 9,030$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.03 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 8,432$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.58 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,409$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.66 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 10c | 4,216$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.21 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team | 42c | 4,125$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.36 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed L1ga Team | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,458$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.26 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,062$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.05 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 1,660$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,621$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.87 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,594$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,491$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.88 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 1,369$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,145$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.9 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,114$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.43 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,050$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed L1ga Team | 49c | 999.14$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 994.39$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 932.44$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.61 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 919.56$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.78 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 26c | 897.78$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 884.18$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 45c | 867.91$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 849.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked L1ga Team | 60c | 837.4$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.65 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 788.54$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 37c | 702.56$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 689.18$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.48 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 31c | 657.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 636.73$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed L1ga Team | 42c | 623.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 622.96$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 592.61$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.38 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 540$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 498.63$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 465.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 445.56$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 55c | 420.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 394.73$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 33c | 383.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed L1ga Team | 46c | 334.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 307.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 29c | 303.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 302.59$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d2f2backed L1ga Team | 32c | 300.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed L1ga Team | 33c | 294.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 292.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 291.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 33c | 290.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team | 19c | 290$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 279.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team | 30c | 221.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 15c | 221.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed L1ga Team | 35c | 219.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 204.49$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 189.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 188.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 159.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…6900backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 132.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed L1ga Team | 37c | 130.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 128.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed L1ga Team | 41c | 122.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 23c | 121.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 19c | 119.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 119.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked L1ga Team | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed L1ga Team | 47c | 115.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 105.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 98.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 92.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 89.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…2a19backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 85.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 82.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 80.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed L1ga Team | 41c | 79.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 79.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 73.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed L1ga Team | 25c | 66.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed L1ga Team | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 54.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 51.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 49.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.