Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32febb234329666f841692b76a0de85af93d30f3511db7314b0f07d200bd7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…ee57backed L1ga Team | 32c | 7,749$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 7,523$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.38 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 6,649$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.23 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 36c | 3,502$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 48c | 2,056$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.66 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,620$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team | 26c | 1,458$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.31 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team | 42c | 1,310$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.14 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,053$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,018$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.17 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 30c | 998.04$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 980$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 979.71$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed L1ga Team | 33c | 970.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.4 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 763.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed L1ga Team | 19c | 758.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed L1ga Team | 27c | 744.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 737.04$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 723.53$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.98 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 648.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 643$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed L1ga Team | 10c | 599.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed L1ga Team | 49c | 592.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.83 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 575.13$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed L1ga Team | 41c | 569.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…50eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 565.38$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed L1ga Team | 41c | 559.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed L1ga Team | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 477.46$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.29 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 10c | 474.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 430.26$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed L1ga Team | 48c | 371.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 366.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed L1ga Team | 45c | 364.78$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 7c | 326.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 17c | 299.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 279.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed L1ga Team | 13c | 277$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed L1ga Team | 31c | 211.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed L1ga Team | 14c | 211.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 209.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 184.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 172.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 168.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 160.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed L1ga Team | 49c | 158.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 150.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed L1ga Team | 41c | 147.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 143.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 127.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 23c | 126.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed L1ga Team | 38c | 106.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed L1ga Team | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 97.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 97.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 90.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 90.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 89.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 88.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 83.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 18c | 79.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 68.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 55.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed L1ga Team | 37c | 49.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed L1ga Team | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed L1ga Team | 38c | 31.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 29.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.