TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac93…0cfc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
640
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT58152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 581 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1win to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$334.07
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$539.7
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$225.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.75
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.13
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.95
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.12
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.81
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$272.91
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$242.84
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$330.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$198.56
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.88
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.92
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.23
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$132.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Dota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.94
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.71
Showing 25 of 581 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$501
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+233.3%+$210
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.3%+$221.83
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$893.06
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+253.8%+$253.79
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.19
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$107.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Barça eSports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.