TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No30c20,805$6,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,246.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No11c13,844$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.0374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c5,844$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.731,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes71c5,174$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.0117338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes40c5,044$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.183455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No1c4,079$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7720560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No1c2,813$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No1c2,238$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Yes64c1,870$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.132060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No34c1,667$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.56333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No26c1,181$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2810273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No37c1,056$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1816341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes45c1,048$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.681040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes61c1,001$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3418465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes65c999.99$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.092045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes70c984.26$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c975.33$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.572,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes38c947.37$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.373441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes66c923.91$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.92,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9794…6831backed Yes69c902.4$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.832254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No37c899.38$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.771315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No55c751.31$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1216833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes70c736$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.610558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No33c720.77$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.853,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No23c697.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes62c628.33$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0620050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No39c622.85$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9120731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366311.1%7 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c595.18$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No32c585.17$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5115445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked No46c555.02$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.31666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c23…9d76backed Yes66c550$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes61c540$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.41968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No33c520.23$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e24…ce70backed No39c518.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes70c500$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes38c499.91$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.948355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes61c482.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3115140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed No35c463.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.917237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes75c444$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1119269.6%64 W · 28 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7387…31b0backed Yes70c428.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.782250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Yes62c423.92$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.522470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes34c420.78$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.714528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No37c417.78$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No35c364.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5418452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fd…d815backed Yes58c342.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes34c339.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.967741.6%32 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes61c339.12$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.524141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…7547backed Yes59c334.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.466762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes63c316.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0612556.8%71 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Yes64c312.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes58c312.39$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4515662.8%98 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Yes74c312.3$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.36747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes69c299.03$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes61c296.58$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6611951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No35c263.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.499855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes63c253.58$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.582227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes59c252.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.773974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33ad…65f8backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Yes68c246.63$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.872853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes63c239.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.069046.7%42 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes62c238.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No39c235$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2251250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Yes37c226.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.744748.9%23 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+108.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No38c222.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4611060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes68c220.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.131526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ea…225bbacked Yes66c218.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No39c216.17$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6316755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed Yes62c209.07$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No34c208.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.826155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes62c202.36$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3610041%41 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No38c197.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1451859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65d6…7f42backed Yes76c197.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes68c193.74$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.525766.7%38 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No34c191.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.110335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…98dbbacked No38c185.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No41c185.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.924257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c185.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1517851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa360…cc8ebacked Yes64c184.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.382245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b5…c197backed Yes66c183.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No39c183$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.371450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5711029.1%32 W · 78 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48d3…fc42backed Yes38c177.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+128%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c5…92a9backed Yes63c169.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes68c168.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.931338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab70…4acebacked Yes67c164.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.681353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes66c160.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7327327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734072.5%29 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes70c157.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.142245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…7f00backed No66c152.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5216453%87 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5215654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.