Fifa International · resolved market
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e7bd66bbb0fb40a64112b1e0f8e6246c60527a053275b10a5e260ac031c1fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 3c | 2,954$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 8c | 1,373$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 20c | 1,132$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 1,104$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d815backed Yes | 28c | 1,086$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 1,068$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 18c | 942.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 565.57$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 16c | 531$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…6ebbbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 517.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…3b90backed Yes | 34c | 461.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 75c | 403.05$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 380.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 13c | 358.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 4c | 253$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 31c | 243.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 24c | 222$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 77c | 173$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 140.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 134.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Yes | 26c | 129$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 25c | 123.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…46c5backed No | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 18c | 118$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 24c | 105.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 80c | 95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 91.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 74c | 83.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Yes | 26c | 83.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 74c | 78.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 77.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Yes | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 37c | 54.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 76c | 52.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 76c | 52.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 25c | 52.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 38c | 51.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked No | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 43.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…9b90backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…ba30backed Yes | 30c | 39.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 79c | 37.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 32.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 22.2%32 W · 112 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 69c | 30.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…68f5backed No | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 24.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…d707backed No | 79c | 21.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…13f8backed No | 77c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 74cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia end in a draw?this page
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?No won
- Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.