TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bc6…6c9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Haiti vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Burkina Faso vs. Guinea-Bissau end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Hungary vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scotland vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal vs. Peru end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will San Marino vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.78
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Incheon United FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+166.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+166.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$90.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.95
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$32.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.39
Will NEC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.