TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland vs. Japan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No60c23,117$13,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,157.4335942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c14,190$5,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,232.8329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c8,591$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c6,995$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.0937144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c5,873$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c5,239$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.3136850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes29c3,317$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.9310558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes41c2,697$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.4976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c2,181$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.651,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes60c2,060$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2361553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c2,037$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.931,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc7e…459cbacked Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc60…a8d6backed No58c1,096$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed No71c915.49$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.495125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No47c751.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4211520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes40c728.28$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1686455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes42c585.69$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes31c469.38$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.28040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes42c441.3$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1421953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes49c405.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6445039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No61c368.85$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8517747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes28c338.32$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes36c317.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1125554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes11c310.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4611221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bc…1523backed Yes7c308.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked No61c295.15$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes41c274.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0117158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6211…e2fabacked Yes57c268.35$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes35c259.56$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c222$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1648140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf6a…bf42backed Yes59c210.24$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.041435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes29c197.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5114948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed No63c184.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.684443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes35c174.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+77.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c165.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.712,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c159.01$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6345947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Yes29c156.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c153.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7916341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c147$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1655045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Yes69c145.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No49c140.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.827131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes38c126.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3423751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes53c121.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648844.3%39 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c115.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.143,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes14c112$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.035040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes40c110.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2615448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No38c106.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5716116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked No68c106.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes14c106$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.343240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c104.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e26…b560backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2928148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No72c93.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.054257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d91…7781backed Yes54c92.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3927745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf257…ef33backed Yes28c82.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.69759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d6…961abacked No69c72.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207464.9%48 W · 26 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0afb…9a96backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x437f…38f0backed Yes28c69.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.447273.6%53 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No44c68.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.413154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes29c65.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.052634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No60c64.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.774,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No70c63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Yes37c61.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No56c56.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Yes44c56.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No64c55.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.272,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked No73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Yes40c53.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.579351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c69…52fdbacked Yes36c53.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Yes30c50.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.56355.6%35 W · 28 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e19…caabbacked Yes30c49.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6226455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes38c46.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9728754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c45.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No65c45.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8982348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked Yes68c45.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.58742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x036f…0dc1backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No71c39.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3810153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.