Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac46d5894835d0bdf4b1aad54f71fc66cdb54ba0b6111295830ea5612d0e119a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 32,062$19,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,578.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 42c | 29,920$12,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,261.72 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 28,811$16,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,641.22 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 23,293$9,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,365.58 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 15,318$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.59 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 14,128$8,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,247.01 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 10,281$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.56 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 7,730$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.85 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes | 29c | 7,343$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.16 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 7,071$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 6,996$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.25 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 72c | 6,543$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 57c | 5,878$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.42 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…5fe7backed Yes | 40c | 5,522$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.92 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 4,519$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.36 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 4,366$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.6 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 37c | 4,305$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.83 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 59c | 4,110$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.92 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.97 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 3,200$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.9 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 54c | 2,895$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.82 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 42c | 2,643$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 44c | 2,440$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +311.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 41c | 2,333$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.36 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Yes | 44c | 2,278$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Yes | 43c | 2,204$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.93 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 37c | 2,045$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.61 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.94 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 1,993$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.15 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,768$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.29 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 3c | 1,647$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,256$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 1,255$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.97 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.04 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 44c | 1,127$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 58c | 1,020$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.6 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 41c | 964$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 48c | 926.4$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.1 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 42c | 906.79$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.95 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 41c | 829.27$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.27 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 41c | 829.27$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.27 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Yes | 38c | 800$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 58c | 763.91$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.87 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 58c | 761.55$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 44c | 759.09$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.48 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 28c | 733.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 35c | 733.19$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.39 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 41c | 732.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.56 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 41c | 728.02$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.53 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 57c | 609.02$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.14 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…edd9backed Yes | 40c | 552.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 549.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 546.22$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.38 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Yes | 30c | 542.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 58c | 505.57$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 43c | 501.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 40c | 494.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed No | 67c | 477.39$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 42c | 475.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 41c | 451.88$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 36c | 445.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 41c | 444.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Yes | 29c | 420.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…09d0backed Yes | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 42c | 400.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 397.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 39c | 382.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 379.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 350.78$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Scotland vs. Japan end in a draw?No won
- Will Scotland win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.