TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0afb…9a96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 65 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5251.9%27 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.32
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$55.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$33.6
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.95
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$159.82
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$113.25
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.68
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.6
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13.68
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will Brazil vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Will United States vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will Netherlands vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+332.8%+$93.2
Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+74.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$47.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$25.4
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.7
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+265.1%+$86.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.75
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.99
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$17.3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$12.84
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$11.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.