TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x890e…db10backed Spurs51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks49c37,510$18,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,130.2356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs6c30,738$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.36141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks53c26,386$13,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,441.7764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs42c20,845$8,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,741.721,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks49c14,900$7,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,579.3485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks54c11,999$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.7228056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs42c11,920$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks51c10,018$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs2c9,496$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.922615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs49c8,914$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.8169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs53c7,835$4,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.1118651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs33c7,680$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs40c6,365$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.9211333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Spurs7c5,299$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9327937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs48c4,401$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.861,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs31c3,799$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks59c2,998$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks58c2,830$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs28c2,552$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs25c2,271$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.8942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs32c2,271$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Knicks58c1,985$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.71872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Knicks59c1,943$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.8738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks43c1,482$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs42c1,430$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.318643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Knicks77c1,282$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2510945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs8c1,224$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.921,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks53c1,121$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6512451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs63c1,115$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks49c1,080$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs51c1,072$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.031,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Knicks59c1,005$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.0515850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks49c1,000$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.322,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Knicks58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs16c928.6$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks60c925$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs41c919.99$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs11c907$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs48c880.12$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks51c837.84$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs9c812$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs52c801.86$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs40c799.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs6c757$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.211,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks59c692$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.726,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Knicks60c653$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.221147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs15c645.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spurs41c609$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs46c550.8$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6918235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks51c490.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs22c487.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6730842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Spurs42c455.45$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks59c441.83$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs24c422$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1627245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs50c413.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Knicks49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs27c400$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks59c385.15$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Knicks40c377.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2217848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Spurs41c372.26$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9414237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs6c366$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005238.5%20 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs47c319.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs41c312.38$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cad…341dbacked Knicks70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.713158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks60c266.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks56c266.62$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs45c258.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.151,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Spurs6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs20c244.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs33c235$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.781,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs41c214.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11122753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Spurs48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2d…646bbacked Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs41c196$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.361,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks52c190.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.513946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Spurs16c188$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Spurs14c181.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+64.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs48c181.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d0…606abacked Knicks57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks59c172.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.911,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs30c165.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5121953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Spurs70c149.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs33c139.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7215648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs25c139.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8116…815ebacked Knicks59c125.61$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.616264.5%40 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Knicks60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Spurs22c122$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Knicks58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs54c95.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Spurs30c94.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.284961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Knicks58c89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.385133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.