TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c9,621$4,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,633.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c5,183$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.1364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c2,113$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c1,887$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.4552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over69c1,873$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under52c1,859$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over7c1,775$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb240…df51backed Over54c1,748$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.922025%5 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under68c1,470$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under31c1,273$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.421,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c1,127$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over40c1,100$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44310146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over33c994.02$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Under33c796.13$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.26933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over69c719.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under31c717.23$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9918235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Over69c539.29$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.363948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c536.53$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.512,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over69c434.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over70c430.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under31c421.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.657532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over69c398.1$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.631172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over48c390$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over37c312$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over71c281.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under27c276.9$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under29c270.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.311,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c231.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under29c222.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under32c220.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under31c209.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c191.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8145445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Over68c144$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over71c141.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c138.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2132654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33d5…8b86backed Over48c120.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under30c116.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under56c109$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under59c108$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2829458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x803a…d56abacked Over44c93.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…1ea7backed Over69c86.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.431931.6%6 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under31c82.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7119959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e07…e837backed Over70c74.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.491650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Over73c74.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.58855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over71c64.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4920762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over59c61.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.425045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c56.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Under52c50.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1311447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under62c42.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1216369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under28c41.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6411145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under44c40.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.886141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.73946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c36.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.061,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over34c31.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under53c31.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8219445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over56c30.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d9…69a1backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc76a…c7b1backed Over69c29.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under60c25.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3211446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over56c23.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.