TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over44c6,492$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.9364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Under58c2,966$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c2,878$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.2125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c2,619$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under54c2,337$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.0545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over42c2,035$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under58c1,888$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.9748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Under57c1,824$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.917458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c1,798$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.861,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over7c1,565$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.231,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Over25c1,216$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.371338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over42c1,061$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over44c1,041$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.0319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c847.15$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.81,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Over2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under79c754.81$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.911,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c624$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Under58c605.32$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.323855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Under62c532.16$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.421376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c518.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2416555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over12c502$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under56c441.92$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under55c438.18$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over25c404.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.551,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over41c385.78$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.173964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over42c357.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under55c355.22$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c311.08$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over12c301.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over42c300.01$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Over47c284.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over11c283.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over44c274.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Over16c237.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0835532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1292…e678backed Under79c207.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7618144.2%80 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under56c207.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4810256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over42c203.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.493935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3917848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under65c181.42$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8827245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2796…2aedbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c175.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.891,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa678…357fbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9669…7884backed Under55c152.81$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.761080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.322753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbc…1545backed Under70c144$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.942259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a15…4cdcbacked Over46c143.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x263b…0200backed Over46c141.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.91361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb4…299abacked Under55c138.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.511080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6319…1f4fbacked Over46c133.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Under56c126.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00cf…e607backed Under55c126.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c121.24$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under75c119.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over46c119$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a08…7e2fbacked Over46c112.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.881154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e72…390fbacked Under55c112.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over38c100.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9910747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c70…ce70backed Under80c99.36$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…c725backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Under56c88.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.774860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Over43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cd3…6c19backed Under70c71.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over47c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.371,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over47c62.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under55c60.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.246051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.615044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over44c59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.965133.3%17 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over38c57.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.964961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9af…f4f7backed Over44c53.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.577948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011851.7%61 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over42c49.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6831540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf35…4581backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e56…a2e9backed Under59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c41.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under56c38.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1732654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Over38c36.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.724161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Over38c36.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.724161%25 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Over38c36.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.724360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over38c36.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.724158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under55c35.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over43c34.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.887437.8%28 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over44c31.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7212150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over45c31.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.039524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under59c30.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5915753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over45c30.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over41c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.