TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c6b…7823

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$68.22
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55.79
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$63.41
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$131.63
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$60.11
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.3
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.65
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.96
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.44
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.43
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.39
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-7.1wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
WNBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$37.02
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.11
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.79
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.06
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.77
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$149.77
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+82%+$122.99
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$136.29
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.13
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.64
Will Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$68.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.86
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$38.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+409.1%+$478.95
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$46.37
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.29
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.03
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$185.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.