Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb02f665ab18ca1d5f89d085e43f9207c8ccf5dd24628118abe47daf31ddb61c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 3,754$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.64 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 3,011$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.3 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 74c | 1,543$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 1,061$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 741.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 586.74$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.63 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 32c | 412.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 384.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 320.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 33c | 295.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 238.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 30c | 204.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 22c | 174$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 119.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 102.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 26c | 101.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 25c | 84.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 75c | 81.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 65c | 77.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 25c | 52.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 68c | 49.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 48.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 45.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 39.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 25.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 51c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 72c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…cee0backed No | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.