TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2b5…4582backed No65c7,846$5,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.181650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c3,131$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.341,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No65c3,063$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes33c2,785$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes38c2,700$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0268435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes2c2,018$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.321723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes19c1,986$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No62c1,752$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c1,364$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No63c1,346$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes41c1,293$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.138254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No64c1,280$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c1,258$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes39c1,257$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0910145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c1,198$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c1,169$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.1830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No62c1,159$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes37c972.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No61c969.05$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.935151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No63c909.32$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.453737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes37c799.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked No64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.252766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed No69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes35c717.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2736654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.56051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2346357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c591.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0726046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes37c579$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.238143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No62c519.96$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes37c464.23$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes35c462.57$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes37c445$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes35c412.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.45257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes37c366.93$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.353828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No68c358.41$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No64c320.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.411275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes33c303.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes35c277.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-75.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No73c275.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e93…be55backed No72c264.89$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No62c255.62$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7123342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No61c254.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+148.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes40c219.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick23cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes35c194.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.255955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes26c172.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.095846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes40c167.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No61c144.1$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.24553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c138.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4618351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes36c136.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes24c134$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.113847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes25c133$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.253225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes32c129.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.035829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes16c127.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.354447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c127$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.319863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.213844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes30c107.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2309…2a24backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes41c81.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.455651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1231…1c15backed No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes36c74.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.772842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c70.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8810640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes40c67.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes40c62.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.758643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No63c57.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No80c55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.052864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes38c53.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbc…c382backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes39c51.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe352…033abacked Yes43c51.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c50.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes37c41.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c40.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6417817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.