TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x47c0…7aed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+205.3%+$59.55
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$51.96
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$75.6
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$218.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,854.45
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.47
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.76
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.2
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.39
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$46.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.