TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Under55c5,500$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,024.9917248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over46c4,504$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.122,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c4,498$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.762,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c3,978$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.144,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c1,734$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.7141149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under56c1,611$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.168441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over64c1,567$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.978,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9630844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over44c1,061$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.1565549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5609655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609262%57 W · 35 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c964.01$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.668,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under57c781.54$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44422753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Over45c705.62$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1457744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.679045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under55c632.47$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0311952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over43c628.55$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2873748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under56c569.6$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.981,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under55c550$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.570744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under55c544.96$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.091,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.481,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under54c540.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1384140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over79c482.52$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.624,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c372.33$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.095,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c359.87$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.366,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over46c344$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7632751.7%169 W · 158 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under56c324.12$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5130750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c322.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.861,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under52c296.28$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3149649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under54c295$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.313452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under33c292.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.552,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c271.75$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Under56c241.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.56346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11059150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c190.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under56c179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2435650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Under55c178.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.115250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under54c166$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.645,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over71c165.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.472,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under53c164.15$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8722248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c162$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under39c149.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7939344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Under56c143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.036947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under8c123.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4375344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over45c122.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.416947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.015,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c112.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.881,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over64c104.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.846,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under30c103.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.541,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.324,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under56c86.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5811250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Over62c82.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2616056.9%91 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Under58c80.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9837143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over73c78.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.122,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under55c74.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8527248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over45c69.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8252449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over76c68.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.491,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over53c64.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9547743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over47c59.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.83033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf574…de82backed Under53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.214050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over53c55.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.182,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5639948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3520955.5%116 W · 93 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8918751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under55c51.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2922849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under55c51.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae26…e478backed Under56c50.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.251450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315045.3%68 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4412548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under54c43.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.291,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over53c43.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f3…b543backed Under54c40.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-78.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c37.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.392,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under55c37.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6130048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9821353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over46c30.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e1…0a28backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over42c27.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9220764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c27.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.921,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af1…af5bbacked Over76c20.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6594…6593backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2147.1%1 W · 13 L-6.6wins-0.47per pick54cpaid-87.2%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.214146.1%65 W · 76 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6438352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…db17backed Under56c18.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under55c18.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0914353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under56c18.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1640148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over67c14.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.