MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef726f7ffc15ef91f68ed0370b0eff6f6fa8734cfac23990041ffa65309d3a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.99 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 4,504$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 4,498$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.76 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 3,978$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 1,734$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.71 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 56c | 1,611$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.16 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 64c | 1,567$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 1,061$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.15 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 964.01$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 57c | 781.54$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 45c | 705.62$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.14 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 632.47$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.03 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 628.55$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 569.6$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.98 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 544.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 54c | 540.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 79c | 482.52$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 372.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 359.87$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 344$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 324.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 322.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 296.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 54c | 295$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 33c | 292.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 271.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 56c | 241.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 55c | 178.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 54c | 166$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 71c | 165.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 164.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 162$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 39c | 149.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 123.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 45c | 122.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 53c | 112.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…7aedbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 104.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 30c | 103.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 56c | 86.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…414ebacked Over | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 58c | 80.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 73c | 78.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 55c | 74.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 45c | 69.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 76c | 68.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 53c | 64.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 47c | 59.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 55.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 55c | 51.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 55c | 51.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Under | 56c | 50.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 43.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…b543backed Under | 54c | 40.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 37.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 55c | 37.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 46c | 30.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…0a28backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 42c | 27.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 56c | 27.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…af5bbacked Over | 76c | 20.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6593backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…db17backed Under | 56c | 18.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 56c | 18.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 67c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.