MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff259771b2f47d9baa92a1cea1937f70b54859c2a275c6de0241473b75dc5ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Texas Rangers, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 1,787$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.31 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 730.82$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 592.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 575$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 546.67$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 423$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 386.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 308.42$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 73c | 281.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 255.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 254.39$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 231.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 227.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 170.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 128.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 128$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…9284backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 119.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 117$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 116$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 114.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 78.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Texas Rangers | 30c | 66.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 62.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 57.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Texas Rangers | 70c | 53.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 52.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 45.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 45.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 43.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 41.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 37.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 33.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 32.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 29.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 26.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 25.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…c12dbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 16.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.