MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c21264631c8b39afc085234b34ed5652db529e46d35adf1919d097b718f531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 40c | 4,287$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.76 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under | 49c | 2,002$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.08 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 1,560$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 10c | 1,503$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 1,106$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 719.09$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.42 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 698.76$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 542$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 481.54$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 56c | 360.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 257$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 78c | 165.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 73c | 152.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 45c | 104.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 54c | 103.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…b543backed Under | 50c | 87.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed Over | 56c | 80.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Under | 49c | 73.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Over | 56c | 71.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 54c | 69.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 67c | 65.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 64.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 60.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 58.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 57.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 45.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…839fbacked Over | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 56c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 34.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428a…c52cbacked Under | 51c | 32.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…db17backed Under | 49c | 31.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 55c | 30.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 60c | 30.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 54c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 62c | 27.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 24.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.