TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b2e…d2ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT12548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.67
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$11.33
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.65
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88%+$17.21
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$35.88
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.52
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.24
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.37
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.57
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.6
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.97
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friarsbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)backed BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$11.18
DEL: Dresdner Eisloewen vs. Bremerhavenbacked Bremerhaven · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+302.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+704.2%+$111.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$32.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+36.3%+$10.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.