TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3a…3246backed New York Yankees31c13,710$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2501650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays48c8,960$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.8947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees45c8,944$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.394,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays69c8,690$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.6710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c3,487$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.4411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays49c3,240$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.232,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays54c2,287$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.143,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees55c1,902$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.998,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays39c1,893$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.888,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees45c1,836$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.498,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays53c1,741$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.351,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees46c1,503$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.211,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees42c1,494$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c1,440$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.871,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees47c1,088$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3773748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.995,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays43c918.82$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.131,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays43c918.82$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.131,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed New York Yankees9c880.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2530452%158 W · 146 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays55c775.68$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.782,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays72c773.74$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.419,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked New York Yankees45c762.58$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.165742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed New York Yankees45c670$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.526948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed New York Yankees45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed New York Yankees47c530$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.117446%80 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays55c489.75$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.396,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed New York Yankees48c468.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Toronto Blue Jays35c428$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.29837.8%37 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed New York Yankees44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17611134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4899…9db1backed New York Yankees48c390$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd935…6029backed Toronto Blue Jays53c390$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Toronto Blue Jays52c380$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Toronto Blue Jays57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1297444.6%33 W · 41 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees47c299.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9959150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8643247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Toronto Blue Jays56c250.2$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.091,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked New York Yankees44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked New York Yankees31c227.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.562528%7 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed New York Yankees45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed New York Yankees54c194$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.761,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Toronto Blue Jays55c171.64$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2411365.5%74 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed New York Yankees45c171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Toronto Blue Jays53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9466551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked New York Yankees54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8117058.2%99 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Yankees48c144.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.367742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Blue Jays23c131.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3475344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed New York Yankees44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.220851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees35c122$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.74,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays55c121.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.812,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Yankees44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.856440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked New York Yankees45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x320b…6057backed New York Yankees47c105.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed New York Yankees46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees44c99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5646854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees44c99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed New York Yankees44c97.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f55…6a09backed New York Yankees48c95.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed New York Yankees21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1008…5fa6backed Toronto Blue Jays54c94.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7067…38dbbacked New York Yankees54c89.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.224537.8%17 W · 28 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked New York Yankees45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4079543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6295…d8f2backed New York Yankees48c88.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…4ba8backed Toronto Blue Jays54c88.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees28c87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.765,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked New York Yankees46c84.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4327248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c83.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0231250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked New York Yankees15c77.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3220852.9%110 W · 98 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc413…957ebacked Toronto Blue Jays54c75.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c95…f17dbacked New York Yankees48c74.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Toronto Blue Jays56c73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1247848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed New York Yankees45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Toronto Blue Jays56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5732647.9%156 W · 170 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Blue Jays38c51.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.852,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees44c50.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed New York Yankees47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Toronto Blue Jays56c47.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9825249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked New York Yankees44c45.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.236341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked Toronto Blue Jays73c45.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.364358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays52c45.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Toronto Blue Jays57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.927647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed New York Yankees47c40.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9244648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees45c33.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed New York Yankees45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed New York Yankees45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ca…69c0backed Toronto Blue Jays43c32.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked New York Yankees45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked New York Yankees45c31.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1931650.6%160 W · 156 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed Toronto Blue Jays54c24.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.364742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked New York Yankees62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.