MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e9bb41c09a04d4aa2f9632d47429f549fe786ca1a84f9a273894cdf0a9bab9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Yankeesof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,012,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,071,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012,563 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees	61c	235,468$143,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91,832.52	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays	38c	234,911$88,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,587.34	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	36c	148,424$53,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,120.42	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees	65c	114,072$74,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,921.11	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays	54c	104,714$56,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56,125.75	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees	60c	64,261$38,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,704.48	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Toronto Blue Jays	39c	50,000$19,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,500	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Yankees	60c	30,000$18,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,000	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays	35c	28,571$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,999.99	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays	32c	20,289$6,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500.82	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees	44c	18,373$8,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,197.23	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees	66c	15,152$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,151.52	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees	66c	15,061$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,061.36	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee9…0752backed New York Yankees	73c	14,411$10,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,890.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees	61c	13,778$8,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,373.34	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees	62c	12,907$7,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,953.5	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays	37c	11,820$4,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,373.4	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees	65c	11,179$7,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,863.3	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked New York Yankees	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,799.98	531	50.5%268 W · 263 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	66c	9,138$6,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,124.92	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays	28c	8,561$2,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,425.61	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed Toronto Blue Jays	37c	7,667$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.79	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Toronto Blue Jays	24c	6,000$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees	35c	5,939$2,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,866.49	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Toronto Blue Jays	38c	5,500$2,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,090	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays	33c	4,816$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.56	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays	36c	4,761$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.14	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	37c	4,612$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.56	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	60c	3,919$2,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.6	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	24c	3,515$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.52	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees	75c	3,342$2,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.54	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	57c	3,160$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.61	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees	62c	3,089$1,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.4	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8df7…36c4backed New York Yankees	65c	3,039$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.76	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed6b…8b3cbacked New York Yankees	56c	3,027$1,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331.73	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees	64c	2,999$1,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.13	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays	34c	2,927$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.13	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed New York Yankees	27c	2,623$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,918.15	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed New York Yankees	72c	2,556$1,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.17	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees	64c	2,236$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.59	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees	73c	2,124$1,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.14	1,911	53.1%1,014 W · 897 L	+43.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees	75c	2,103$1,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.48	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Yankees	64c	2,034$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.74	119	47.1%56 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed New York Yankees	61c	2,008$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.12	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays	39c	2,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.96	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Toronto Blue Jays	33c	1,979$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.24	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees	75c	1,818$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.16	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays	47c	1,791$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.15	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed New York Yankees	50c	1,777$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.54	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees	66c	1,711$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.61	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays	39c	1,705$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.8	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays	34c	1,686$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.24	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees	52c	1,684$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.49	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed New York Yankees	63c	1,513$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.91	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees	40c	1,501$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$901.6	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Blue Jays	66c	1,457$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.72	752	44%331 W · 421 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Toronto Blue Jays	70c	1,412$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.55	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Yankees	61c	1,400$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546	231	52.8%122 W · 109 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays	28c	1,389$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.88	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Toronto Blue Jays	33c	1,382$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.06	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Toronto Blue Jays	34c	1,373$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.67	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays	38c	1,350$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.92	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees	37c	1,350$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.47	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed New York Yankees	74c	1,300$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees	28c	1,290$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.28	6,302	48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L	+181.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Toronto Blue Jays	35c	1,190$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.46	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees	64c	1,183$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.26	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	1,177$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.64	851	35.8%305 W · 546 L	-23.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked New York Yankees	61c	1,148$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.54	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276e…e914backed Toronto Blue Jays	37c	1,011$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.44	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	37c	1,010$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.33	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked New York Yankees	65c	1,010$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed New York Yankees	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.04	162	48.8%79 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Toronto Blue Jays	36c	1,000$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.01	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays	35c	1,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.05	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked New York Yankees	63c	1,000$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	90	63.3%57 W · 33 L	+9.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees	30c	1,000$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked New York Yankees	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked New York Yankees	65c	1,000$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked New York Yankees	67c	980.33$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.83	124	46%57 W · 67 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees	37c	974.55$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.49	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays	35c	954$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.08	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5f05…a70fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	37c	891.25$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays	20c	875$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	814.06$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.3	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	40c	800$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	796.72$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	38c	779.89$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.49	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Yankees	56c	766.38$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.57	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Toronto Blue Jays	40c	750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x485a…a7c3backed New York Yankees	59c	700$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed New York Yankees	15c	700$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees	64c	673.23$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.89	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees	56c	664.08$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.04	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Toronto Blue Jays	71c	657.39$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	125	75.2%94 W · 31 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays	48c	630.03$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.91	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Toronto Blue Jays	56c	628.41$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.61	106	50%53 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesthis page
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Under won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event