TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x276e…e914

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$7.5
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$15.63
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.44
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$16.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$354.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.62
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$21.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$16.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.1
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.97
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.13
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$33.55
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$102.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.