Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x915499a29378d0ea488253a2fdaaf83e7314c2af26bfcadd117ce02499d40c21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 42c | 95,185$39,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,476.16 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 40c | 36,568$14,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,940.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 41c | 35,000$14,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,815.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 31,025$18,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,203.16 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 59c | 17,878$10,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,458.85 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 59c | 17,000$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,030 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 12,436$7,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,272.99 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 10,500$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 40c | 9,158$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.44 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 7,033$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.31 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 58c | 6,881$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.06 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 6,195$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.94 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 5,840$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.39 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 60c | 5,692$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,415.2 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 4,902$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.29 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 1c | 4,831$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Yes | 40c | 4,554$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 58c | 3,472$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.22 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 35c | 2,454$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.73 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 59c | 2,366$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 2,302$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.81 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 1,939$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.62 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 1,939$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.62 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 1,906$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.54 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed No | 60c | 1,888$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 59c | 1,650$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.6 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 1,342$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.58 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 1,335$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.7 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 39c | 1,219$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.84 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 59c | 1,208$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.36 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 1,204$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.36 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 80c | 1,127$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed No | 26c | 873.91$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 63c | 870$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 17c | 866$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 60c | 863$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.91 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 58c | 702.75$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.16 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 46c | 693.02$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 59c | 589.28$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 61c | 572.7$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 59c | 567.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.08 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 10c | 564.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 60c | 455.5$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.17 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 53c | 422.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 57c | 405.21$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 51c | 398.37$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 25c | 397.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked No | 60c | 351$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 11c | 350.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 23c | 331.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 60c | 317.26$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 10c | 290.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 61c | 288.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 59c | 285.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 49c | 268.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 57c | 258.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 59c | 258.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 244$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 57c | 239.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 44c | 233.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed No | 60c | 227.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 78c | 225$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 50c | 210$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 15c | 209.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 203.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 58c | 202.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 79c | 201.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 12c | 196.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 12c | 196.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 61c | 184$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 59c | 178.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 59c | 177.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 59c | 172.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 59c | 161.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 58c | 160.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 143.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 79c | 134$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 59c | 128$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 59c | 126.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 39c | 123.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked No | 60c | 118.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 110.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 60c | 98.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.