TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed No65c33,345$21,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,767.454261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes36c15,538$5,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,526.0835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes38c13,023$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c4,808$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.7172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c4,495$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes2c4,411$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.011,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes36c3,279$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.2853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes36c3,125$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.246145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c3,064$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.231,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c2,804$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.0770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c2,718$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.893,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No62c2,513$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95510358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes34c2,065$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6132848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c1,832$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.819268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No64c1,814$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c1,814$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No65c1,814$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes35c1,797$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.6397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes38c1,214$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c882.39$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…00f1backed Yes33c666.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.94248.3%2 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes34c456.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.651,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes35c351.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8612654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes36c329.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c295.63$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3410042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c272.32$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes23c263.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes6c216$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.715733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No78c210$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.347564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes22c200$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.148344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No63c170.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes18c162.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No62c160.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.013066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes37c156.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.857147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No64c151$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.951,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes36c149.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7612850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes34c147.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes35c138.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4312650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes40c124$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4531446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed No64c120.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No68c115$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes35c112.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.419742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes37c104.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5512356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.953426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes37c99.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6219642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes36c98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.184566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes39c98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5235247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No61c97.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.062250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes36c95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7737649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No66c87.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.843268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes35c86.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1919056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes35c85.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.869345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed No63c84.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4810753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked No62c80.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked No67c78.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.064247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No66c75.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.154757.4%27 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1526050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3917244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes39c65.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.292040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed No65c61.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No68c60.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed No61c55.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Yes35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes28c49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7819852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No62c46.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.723751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No57c44.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1312247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes39c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Yes35c42.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.765549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c39.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Yes35c37.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.176558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No64c37.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.511650.9%59 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7610338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes33c36.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No57c35.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2319645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes35c35.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.314942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Yes36c33.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed No66c32.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.778100%8 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.97263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.015263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ced…54aebacked No66c29.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No65c28.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3135149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.68568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No64c19.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.063551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No65c18.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.432934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.