Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ccc1a8a3be787532a80b659c78c90ef0dd74b7d8423255bf0dfb13bf680b75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 3,730$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 2,813$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 38c | 2,162$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.41 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 2,043$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 62c | 1,602$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 1,441$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 1,319$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 1,106$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.16 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 949.11$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 510.26$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 452.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 62c | 268.71$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 34c | 251.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 246.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 33c | 175.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Under | 69c | 140.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 131.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 126.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 59c | 125.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Under | 59c | 80.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276e…e914backed Over | 38c | 78.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 29c | 68.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 64.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Under | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 28c | 57.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 37c | 40.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 39.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 30.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 64c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 52c | 21.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 79c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…ecf0backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.