Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Maria Golovina vs Xinxin Yao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7069aa827c3ed29c0ef67189719c306574ebc833eab49f0c9d2f6dc73fac05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Golovinaof Maria Golovina, Xinxin Yao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maria Golovina | 32c | 3,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.95 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Xinxin Yao | 69c | 1,743$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 999.78$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.7 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Maria Golovina | 31c | 860.27$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.4 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Maria Golovina | 32c | 462.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Xinxin Yao | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Xinxin Yao | 73c | 323.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…140dbacked Xinxin Yao | 68c | 291.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maria Golovina | 27c | 241.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maria Golovina | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…d4f2backed Xinxin Yao | 69c | 191.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xinxin Yao | 66c | 181.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maria Golovina | 28c | 159.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Maria Golovina | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Xinxin Yao | 69c | 145.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Maria Golovina | 34c | 139.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Golovina | 44c | 133.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Xinxin Yao | 70c | 129.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Maria Golovina | 38c | 113.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 104.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…8ac5backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 102.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a7…4069backed Xinxin Yao | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Golovina | 29c | 94.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 90.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Maria Golovina | 33c | 72.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Xinxin Yao | 34c | 71.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Xinxin Yao | 58c | 71.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…34a7backed Xinxin Yao | 72c | 69.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Xinxin Yao | 69c | 64.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Maria Golovina | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Maria Golovina | 61c | 52.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maria Golovina | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Maria Golovina | 31c | 45.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Xinxin Yao | 33c | 38.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Xinxin Yao | 39c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Maria Golovina | 34c | 35.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 33.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Maria Golovina | 34c | 33.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…58c5backed Xinxin Yao | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276e…e914backed Xinxin Yao | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Xinxin Yao | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…9f39backed Xinxin Yao | 71c | 18.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.