TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7787…8ac5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.17
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
ITF Karuizawa: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogurabacked Hikaru Shiraishi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
ITF Wuning: Maria Golovina vs Xinxin Yaobacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Kosice: Lukas Pokorny vs Tom Parisbacked Tom Paris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick75cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.92
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$10.28
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$32.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.82
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$18.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.