Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4976d45134f8c476a727173a22562e4f80a4f72598c53564f6d6e0855eeb45c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 965$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 42c | 789.73$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.24 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 44c | 724.63$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 635.48$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…77c3backed Yes | 46c | 442.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 349.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 299.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 49c | 276.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 8c | 246$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 244.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 57c | 237.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 48c | 230.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 53c | 217.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 203.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…63ccbacked Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 52c | 199.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…6bb5backed Yes | 46c | 198.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 48c | 187.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…f896backed Yes | 31c | 185$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 55c | 181.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 180.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 58c | 176.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 175.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 48c | 173.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 47c | 169.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 44c | 165.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…19d9backed Yes | 41c | 165.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 53c | 159.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…fd78backed Yes | 38c | 149.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 38c | 141$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 37c | 136.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 127.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 126.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 66c | 126.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 33c | 121.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 35c | 119.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 42c | 117.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 45c | 117.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 31c | 115.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 35c | 113.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 50c | 110.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 45c | 109.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 51c | 106.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked No | 54c | 102.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 51c | 100.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 37c | 100.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 48c | 99.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 55c | 94.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 91.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 46c | 89.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 44c | 87.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 52c | 85.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 69c | 85.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 45c | 85.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 45c | 81.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 53c | 81.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…e421backed Yes | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 47c | 78.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed No | 52c | 76.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 76.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 76.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 36c | 76.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…bd8cbacked Yes | 50c | 76.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 49c | 76.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2b9abacked Yes | 38c | 74.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 70.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 41c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…f1f9backed Yes | 34c | 64.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 44c | 63.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 59.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 65c | 58.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 49c | 56.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 45c | 55.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 47c | 54.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…48cfbacked No | 52c | 54.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…0711backed Yes | 24c | 52.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 65c | 52.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…8992backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.