Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74bc0d2191d2b2af4ec957be2dfbecde52c98120e6495e8e7fee25aa2779e47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Yes | 1c | 1,368$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 9c | 1,208$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 29c | 994.36$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.17 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 964.8$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 30c | 470.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 403.09$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…c853backed Yes | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 376.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 368.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 360.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 337.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 310.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 303.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 78c | 267.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 13c | 266$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 258.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 12c | 239.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…b79fbacked Yes | 24c | 227.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 28c | 205.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…31d4backed No | 77c | 194.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 36c | 194.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 188.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 182$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…7137backed No | 68c | 175.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 27c | 172.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 31c | 160.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 152.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…fd78backed Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 73c | 149.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 27c | 144.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 144.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 73c | 139.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 134.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 25c | 129.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 128.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 40c | 125.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 31c | 114.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 71c | 107$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 31c | 106.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 69c | 105.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 23c | 100.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 100.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…5926backed Yes | 16c | 91.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 17c | 90.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…3269backed No | 73c | 89.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 34c | 89.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 84.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 82.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 75c | 81.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…5430backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…6eb0backed Yes | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 77.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 68c | 77.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 78c | 73.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Yes | 40c | 62.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…7d0abacked Yes | 17c | 60.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 26c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 34c | 58.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 55.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 50.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…9933backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 25c | 49.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 27c | 47.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 34c | 44.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…ace6backed Yes | 32c | 43.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…638abacked Yes | 24c | 43.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 43.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 42.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…1751backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 40.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.