Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b29a0e92477478b53e0e5ec944f15a1319e7670f716fa69e2055df2bc5c58f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaa0…d770backed No | 0c | 9,051$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf77…7d01backed No | 1c | 2,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked No | 1c | 1,897$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 18c | 1,140$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 1,113$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.37 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 32c | 930.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.86 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 16c | 898.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.63 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 845.57$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked No | 77c | 829.16$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.37 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 674.61$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.29 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 28c | 598.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…c853backed Yes | 80c | 588.73$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 553.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 522.47$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 23c | 488.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.9 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 455.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 20c | 424.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 401.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.91 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 19c | 398.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.82 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 395.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 37c | 362.69$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 9c | 330.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 14c | 316.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.65 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 313.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 76c | 313.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 311.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 303.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 271.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 34c | 256.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 78c | 249.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 12c | 242.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…325fbacked No | 75c | 219.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…1d86backed No | 74c | 215.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 15c | 208.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 26c | 207.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 28c | 199.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 21c | 195.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 13c | 192.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 53c | 189.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 54c | 185.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked No | 68c | 184.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…e79dbacked No | 80c | 179.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 30c | 167.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 21c | 156.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 33c | 152.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…7d65backed No | 47c | 136.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 74c | 135.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 21c | 117.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 27c | 112.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 74c | 111.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 76c | 111.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked No | 79c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 23c | 109.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 17c | 104.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 19c | 103.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…e43cbacked No | 72c | 100.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…02febacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…98e0backed No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 48c | 99.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 12c | 98.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 29c | 97.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…914bbacked Yes | 63c | 95.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed No | 28c | 95.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 45c | 94.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 20c | 94.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…b6e0backed No | 72c | 94.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 80c | 94.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 36c | 92.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 28c | 87.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 21c | 85.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 16c | 82.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 25c | 81.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 12c | 80.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 50c | 78.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 17c | 77.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961e…0de1backed No | 64c | 77.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…d0a7backed Yes | 78c | 77.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 30c | 75.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…e320backed Yes | 18c | 69.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 80c | 63.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 63.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 18c | 62.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 22c | 60.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 52c | 60.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 67c | 59.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 18c | 57.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 19c | 55.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 68c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 32c | 52.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on June 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.