Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbfd1ba67e9f23ee1dde45b4c88b290cee77c7d122eb5679eced7321490145e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,897$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…55e4backed Yes | 1c | 1,013$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 836.7$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed Yes | 60c | 676.44$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.16 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 671$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.42 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 636.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 598$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.78 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 544.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 3c | 542.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 67c | 498.14$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 421$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 369.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 49c | 316.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 42c | 311.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 65c | 305$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 38c | 304.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 45c | 285$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 35c | 281.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 273.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 52c | 271.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 245.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 236.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 32c | 227.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 58c | 217.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed No | 6c | 215.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 30c | 215.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 205.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 64c | 203.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 51c | 191.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 22c | 181$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 54c | 175.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 166.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 64c | 155.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 152.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…8533backed Yes | 33c | 149.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…31d4backed No | 69c | 144.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 37c | 140.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Yes | 33c | 139.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 138.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 42c | 136.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 52c | 132$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947a…cd42backed Yes | 29c | 120.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…1f0abacked Yes | 67c | 114.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 43c | 107.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 69c | 103.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 20c | 101$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…7870backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 36c | 98.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 40c | 96.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked Yes | 78c | 94.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 33c | 93.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 62c | 90.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 66c | 90.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 65c | 90.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 51c | 90.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 29c | 79.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 58c | 79.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 38c | 77.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 52c | 76.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 39c | 76.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 63c | 74.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 73.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 60c | 71.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 54c | 71.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 29c | 69.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed No | 66c | 68.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…ab06backed Yes | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…894fbacked Yes | 37c | 68.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 29c | 65.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 77c | 65.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 18c | 64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 20c | 63.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 32c | 63.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 33c | 62.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 33c | 61.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked Yes | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 38c | 60.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 59.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 59.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…b1c2backed Yes | 34c | 59.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 29c | 58.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.