Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99fdcfaf9b382844c39f0ccf323a109d91fd21a4e7b66a882c431b0a3c444ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 1,146$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.88 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 23c | 862.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.91 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed No | 30c | 841.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 836.7$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.25 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 760.29$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.63 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 634.31$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 565.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.65 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 40c | 411.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 41c | 384.24$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 28c | 378.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 63c | 359.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.77 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed No | 72c | 359.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 65c | 355.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 354.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 48c | 315.22$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 34c | 281.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 27c | 275.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 28c | 273.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 44c | 254.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 43c | 251.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 251.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 40c | 235.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 44c | 221.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 221.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 216.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 56c | 192.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 26c | 186.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 185.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 52c | 184.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 45c | 182.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 172.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 53c | 171.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 13c | 170.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 60c | 163.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 163.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 159.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 28c | 157.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 154.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 152$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 53c | 150.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 44c | 150.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…db52backed No | 52c | 135.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 47c | 135.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 132.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 46c | 129.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 129.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 34c | 126.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…0567backed No | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…7870backed Yes | 21c | 123.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 48c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 51c | 122.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 112.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 79c | 111.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 42c | 110.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 47c | 105.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 104.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…608dbacked No | 69c | 102.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 48c | 100.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 72c | 96.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 53c | 95.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 93.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d3b9backed Yes | 26c | 90.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 90.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 16c | 88.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 79c | 88.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 28c | 87.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 87.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 16c | 87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 17c | 86.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed No | 52c | 83.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…5314backed Yes | 30c | 83.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 37c | 81.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 49c | 80.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…706bbacked Yes | 33c | 75.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 53c | 72.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 72.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 71c | 71.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 39c | 67.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…6238backed Yes | 45c | 67.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 45c | 66.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 79c | 63.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 26c | 62.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…917cbacked Yes | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 60.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…5df9backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…aa8ebacked Yes | 26c | 59.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 53c | 56.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.