TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf055…ccdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT8950.6%45 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+382.1%+$75.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.92
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$29.51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.91
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.28
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$22.71
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+258.6%+$113.24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$11.02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$13.64
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$92.38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$22.31
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.71
Will Vanuatu vs. Fiji end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$44.19
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will San Marino vs. Bangladesh end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+48%+$11.35
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$16.83
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+176.9%+$79.85
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.67
Will Russia vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Georgia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.11
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Indonesia vs. Oman end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$6.36
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.42
Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$11.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Salvatore Alfano win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$41.6
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$36.76
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$53.72
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$304.36
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.92
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$1,062.27
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.57
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$127.34
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.47
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.22
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.1
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$734.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$17.38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$20.7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$663.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$856.22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$804.14
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29%+$52.99
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
All 8 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$42
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$96.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$71.78
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.81
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$230.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.