Fifa International · resolved market
Will Indonesia vs. Oman end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba5a73ebaf1126134318cc03d02e4860a21d598c079b292a867c99e721cb63f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes | 7c | 12,074$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.2 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 4,357$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 2,814$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 1,758$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.97 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,671$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.81 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,057$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 69c | 999.93$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 10c | 709.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…e6a2backed No | 72c | 554.75$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 413.23$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 32.3%42 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 35c | 304.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 12c | 299.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 264.61$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 25c | 221.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…c228backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Yes | 13c | 149.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 25c | 142.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 13c | 136.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 29.8%70 W · 165 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…4807backed Yes | 16c | 92.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 30c | 73.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 25c | 72.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 68.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 20c | 62.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 80c | 31.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed No | 72c | 26.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 80c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Indonesia vs. Oman end in a draw?this page
- Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
- Will Oman win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.