Fifa International · resolved market
Will Vanuatu vs. Fiji end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cb98f645babecd2355667cb2922bb55452a9619707a599bc7931b3aaceb97a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,292$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.25 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 58c | 561.37$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 28c | 526.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 74c | 511.08$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 33c | 449.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 52c | 337.53$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 72c | 299.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 35c | 250.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 249.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 69c | 217.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 189.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 57c | 180.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 65c | 124.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Yes | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 51c | 101.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 31c | 97.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 42c | 96.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 51c | 86.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 80.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 74c | 55.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 61c | 55.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 45c | 52.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 46c | 50.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 67c | 27.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 64c | 26.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 54c | 22.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…48a4backed No | 61c | 19.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vanuatu vs. Fiji end in a draw?this page
- Will Fiji win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.