Fifa International · resolved market
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32770d4b5cb085e2258fe7a2a12b877e737fe18077baa0efa955eb1bc0df655a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 52c | 2,148$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.87 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,059$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 52c | 916.53$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 71c | 676.64$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 60c | 533.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 46c | 505.58$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 67c | 389.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 385.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 53c | 344.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.72 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 324.4$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 46c | 289.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 237.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 48c | 224$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 47c | 214.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 49c | 199.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Yes | 47c | 153.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 38c | 147.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 53c | 126.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 125.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 46c | 118.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 48c | 118.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 48c | 116.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…dce0backed Yes | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 236 | 33.9%80 W · 156 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 89.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 83.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 73.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 55c | 72.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 53c | 71.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…09c9backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 17c | 62.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…12ccbacked Yes | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 50c | 55.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…4689backed Yes | 48c | 48.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 52c | 45.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Yes | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…3d7fbacked No | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…32d1backed No | 52c | 35.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 53c | 28.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 26.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 26.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…fcafbacked Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 50c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Fiji win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Vanuatu vs. Fiji end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.