TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32ea…105d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT17735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$30.28
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.85
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Brazil leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.31
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.33
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.22
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.21
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+244.9%+$355.17
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+387.7%+$1,263.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$378
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+253.2%+$309.28
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$96.83
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+281.7%+$74.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.29
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.