Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a9ddb0b030933898b5800c4b128edea0bdb2d649560e767e99f45fce7d3c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 40c | 305.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 35c | 298.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 278.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 274.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 55c | 249.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 227.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 45c | 223.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 35c | 202.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 45c | 200.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 39c | 180.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 47c | 167.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 36c | 161.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…91e2backed Yes | 39c | 123.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 65c | 114.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 109.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 32c | 92.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 54c | 90.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 89.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 33c | 89.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 36c | 83.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 67c | 81.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 80.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed No | 68c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 163 | 39.9%65 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 36c | 79.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 66c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 71c | 67.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes | 35c | 61.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 46c | 58.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 69c | 58.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 32c | 56.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 70c | 55.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 55.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…bc3bbacked Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 59c | 48.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 48.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 32c | 44.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…923abacked Yes | 37c | 43.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 42.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 41.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked No | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 40.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 66c | 38.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…ff0bbacked No | 65c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 66c | 36.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 64c | 35.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 74c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 40c | 30.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 63c | 28.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 58c | 27.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 38c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 26.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 26.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 57c | 25.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 52c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 60c | 21.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 72c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8cc8backed No | 61c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 64c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 65c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.