Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f2253eb2e372ce21eebc62129488100668e1f092ee4bf79628be62c112591b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,582$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 62c | 818.97$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 7c | 206.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 196.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 192$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 181.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 40c | 177.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 41c | 161.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 40c | 160.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…a5a5backed Yes | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 35 | 94.3%33 W · 2 L | +13.8wins | +0.40per pick | 55cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 76+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 36c | 151$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…f9debacked Yes | 75c | 144.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 59 | 93.2%55 W · 4 L | +21.7wins | +0.37per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 45c | 143.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 8c | 137.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 121.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 118.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 57c | 115.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 114.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 109.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 109.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 109$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 41c | 108.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 21c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 96.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 95.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 91.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 88.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 33c | 80.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 25c | 78.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…dffdbacked No | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 40c | 69.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 64.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…cc78backed No | 51c | 64.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 45c | 54.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…d1aebacked Yes | 46c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 51c | 50.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 42c | 48.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 47.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 42.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 67c | 40.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked Yes | 51c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 46c | 39.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 58c | 35.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…c061backed No | 57c | 35.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked No | 59c | 31.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 41c | 30.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 50c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…5430backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 36c | 27.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 59c | 25.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 46c | 25.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…4a73backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 49c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…97d1backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 55c | 19.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…b951backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.