TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3609…3a0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT8245.1%37 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$45.33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$60.15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+219.1%+$122.92
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.92
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$104.91
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.48
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$99.02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$87.03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+180%+$33.35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$63.45
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.26
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.71
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.46
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.59
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$91.24
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$15.2
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.61
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+27%+$67.54
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+52%+$52
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$36.5
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.03
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.9%+$52.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.52
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.65
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$10.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.2%+$12.99
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.88
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$86.98
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.88
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.21
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+412.8%+$402.5
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+852.4%+$89.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.55
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO5) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.28
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$228.52
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$59.75
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$96
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+39.2%+$5.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$766.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+74.3%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.