TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,146,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,146,828 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,914 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b1…f076backed No53c2,540,778$1,358,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358,351.571030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-50.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes47c1,305,156$611,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693,673.058756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed Yes46c503,998$231,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,159.011668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c326,094$195,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,261.764,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c286,960$99,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,038.1590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes46c142,975$65,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,206.5110948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes47c140,127$65,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,918.556048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes46c117,991$54,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,202.15964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No50c103,364$51,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,349.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes50c90,000$44,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,2605058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No47c79,892$37,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,549.292948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes51c70,951$35,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,040.215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No52c64,500$33,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,648.577455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c63,634$40,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,189.651,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes46c55,000$25,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,7001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No49c51,756$25,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,144.5716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes51c51,249$26,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,879.0111146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c48,897$23,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,964.171,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c42,492$22,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,376.8250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No51c42,183$21,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,393.255242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes69c39,752$27,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,334.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No49c38,901$18,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,893.813537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes53c38,444$20,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,167.125940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked No51c37,979$19,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,369.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No73c35,729$26,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,218.89743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc821…6a7ebacked Yes53c35,198$18,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,543.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes47c33,450$15,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,728.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe1…28eebacked No52c31,200$16,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,223.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c27,345$12,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,467.652,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes47c26,976$12,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,297.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes45c24,919$11,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,598.0113645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes45c21,984$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,984.352850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No47c21,936$10,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,309.792133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No51c21,373$10,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,900.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc466…6201backed Yes53c20,485$10,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,628.141258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6003847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Yes52c19,066$9,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,099.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No48c18,295$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,850.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No48c17,640$8,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,485.691040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c16,465$8,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.2550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Yes46c15,958$7,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,617.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes36c15,811$5,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,041.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No49c15,474$7,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,526.81315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No34c15,191$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.3722753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed Yes71c15,023$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,423.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c15,016$7,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,630.773,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes47c15,000$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8807349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8001650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No50c15,000$7,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,449.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Yes41c14,721$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,720.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes49c14,579$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,370.932944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes28c14,027$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,127.313441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed Yes45c13,326$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,325.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes47c13,202$6,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,997.0614250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No53c13,067$6,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,925.49536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes47c12,998$6,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,888.868041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes49c12,500$6,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,31512132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe166…8f14backed Yes41c12,337$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,336.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes28c12,144$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,797.992638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked No47c12,137$5,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,704.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes28c11,494$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,328.212944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…8b73backed No48c10,938$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No47c10,843$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.23145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No47c10,400$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,887.926357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes49c10,207$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.545726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes52c10,106$5,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.091369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes52c10,094$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.743633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed No47c10,000$4,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,706.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+87.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No51c9,908$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes52c9,652$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.2615646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No54c9,546$5,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,154.734247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes42c8,820$3,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,136.832334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No49c8,669$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,247.8120449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes49c8,500$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3153627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c8,295$3,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.381,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes53c8,246$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.6226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed No53c8,160$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,324.85850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2a…243ebacked Yes72c8,058$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde4…e2bebacked Yes54c7,767$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Yes52c7,690$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes25c7,435$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,582.515246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No60c7,286$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.674740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No70c7,159$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No47c6,899$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.5724147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Yes44c6,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c1…3c82backed Yes47c6,316$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes40c6,178$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,678.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c6,158$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.5912050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be5…5741backed No47c6,046$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes51c5,400$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6608728.7%25 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes39c4,953$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.065453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes58c4,918$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.6823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Yes49c4,840$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.411566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes48c4,817$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.918252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.